• SimplySocionomics

    Mission: To Widen an understanding of Socionomics pictorially with minimum text

     

  • How Contrarianism Morphed Into Socionomics

    Great Examples from a 30+ year Investment Veteran

    Title Text

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  • What is Socionomics?

    The Predictability of the future

    Various definitions

    Investopedia definition:

     

    The study of the relationship between social mood and social behavior pioneered by Robert R. Prechter, Jr. Socionomic theory proposes that social mood influences the aggregate character of social actions, such as those found in the economy, financial markets and politics.

     

    Socionomics Institute definition:

     

    Social mood predisposes individuals in the group toward emotions, beliefs and actions. It fluctuates constantly in a fractal pattern. It is unconscious, unremembered and endogenously regulated. Socionomic theory proposes that social mood governs the character of social events.

    Our take

    Simple definition:

     

    The Study of "Collective" Social Mood and How to Profit and plan from it
     
    Whilst encouraging you to visit the Socionomics Institute website where you can access a myriad of superb analysis of Economic, Monetary and Cultural topics through the lens of a Socionomist, free and/or by subscription from the best in the forecasting business, the purpose of SimplySocionomics is to do just that, simplify it as an introduction.

  • Observing the Not So Obvious

    The Power of "Herding" in Matters Financial

    Robert Prechter long ago observed that whilst the human race naturally "herd," think music, movies and fashion, they do so particularly in matters financial, such as investing and house buying, as there is an "uncertainty" involved as to just how to value a financial entity, hence they "sub-consciously herd." Humans act logically when it comes to non-financial transactions, think "buy one get one free," but they act IL-logically when it comes to buying stocks or buying a house, as can be seen within the chart above. The higher home prices go, the more people buy and vice-versa.

     

    Aside of this applying to most "professional investors," also, the study of financial markets, and in particular the main stock-indices, provides a wonderful "barometer," of collective social mood, higher infers rising optimism whilst lower observes a more pessimistic society. Furthermore, as stock-indices are fractal in nature, meaning they repeat the same pattern over all degrees of time be it minutes and/or decades, they offer a fair degree of predictability on not only the financial markets but life in general, such as Politics, Taxes, Population growth and the propensity towards War to name but a few.

  • The Barometer of Mood

    Positive & Negative Collective Social Mood

    Contrary to popular belief, mood governs events not events govern mood and this is confirmed by the above. It shows the most watched stock-index on the planet, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Dow, in both nominal terms and in real terms, which effectively strips out the "debt inflation" of the past 40+ years and in particular the last 8 year period, when American debt has accumulated by as much as the previous combined 200+ years since the American Constitution was founded.

     

    If you have any doubts as to the rationale of comparing nominal against real, then just take a glance at a selection of the positive and negative traits observed by Prechter in his ground-breaking classic, "Pioneering Studies in Socionomics," and then pause to reflect on the events of the past year and the past decade come to that.

  • Knowledge Sharing

    Mood Matters So Why Not Share

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    Changing the Way that you View the World

    The Impending Global Housing Bust
    $47.00
    The value of all gold ever mined = $US6tr
    The value of global stock-markets = $US55tr
    The value of global real estate = $US217tr....Source Savills Research 2016

    It's been the biggest love affair in history but its about to break your heart, and maybe your personal wealth...with the bust due somewhere near to you.

    To be forewarned is to be prepared and the time to plan is short......as long as enough historical data is available for your place in the world, an in depth overview, including price targets and why will be yours to prepare for it.
    Quantity
    Coming soon
    Socionomic Specials..........One off in depth research from
    $15.00
    Periodic predictive commentaries on a range of topics, including the subjects covered within the free "knowledge sharing" section.

    Whilst they will be more in depth, the content will be both user-friendly and excellent value for money
    Quantity
    Coming soon
  • The Socionomist

    If you have enjoyed this introduction to "seeing the future via observations of the past" the following link provides a whole new world for you to explore

  • Join the Investmentmatters Club

    Without you to Share and Provide, there would be no purpose

  • For a look to the future, we must study the past.

    Plus strive for the best.

    Socionomics Institute

    You are encouraged to visit the Institute's site where an extensive range of free information is available on the predictive qualities of social mood
     

    They have also designed an introductory offer to the Socionomics Membership for people who are new to socionomics. The Socionomist publication is a terrific way to discover how social mood pervades every area of society and drives much of human history and is available at a discount for a 3-month period plus to get your hands on the five most recent issues.

    Passion

    30+ years of investment experience...... advising, managing, analysing, writing, commenting, watching and listening.......confirm to me at least that markets, which after all are made up of decisions by human beings on whether to Buy,Sell or hold, are repetitive and not random...as such their predictability can be of immense use for not just investment decision-making but for life in general, be it of political change, the arts, propensity towards war, pandemics, sex to name but a few areas.

    You are welcome to join me on the journey forward, assisted by many lessons from the past, in what is hoped you will find a rewarding, thought-provoking, contrarian experience with some added humour
     

    Health Warning

    Material contained within this website is for general information purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon by individual readers in making (or refraining from making) any specific investment decision. Investmentmatters.club and its staff do not accept any liability for any loss suffered by any user as a result of any such decision. Please note that the prices of investments can rise and fall sharply and you may not get back the money you originally invested, particularly where these investments are leveraged.
     
    The investments and services mentioned in this website will not be suitable for all readers. You should assess the suitability of the recommendations (implicit or otherwise) of investments and services mentioned within this website (or partner sites and links) to your own circumstances. If you have any doubts about the suitability of any investment or service, you should take appropriate professional advice.

     

    The views and recommendations within this website are based on information from a variety of sources. Although these are believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information herein.

    Nice Words

    "Contrarians are Born, Socionomists are Taught" was a really thought provoking video Charlie! What an amazing wealth of knowledge you have to share. I am keen to understand more about Socionomics and will keep informed with your website....Joanna R Specialist grant writer, strategic planner and project manager, Adelaide, Australia

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